The results of statistical modelling as reported by the HSE suggest that the number of occupational cancers associated with asbestos exposure may drop by more than 90% by 2060.
On the other hand, occupational exposures to silica, diesel engine exhaust fumes, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), solar radiation, shift work and working as painters and welders are estimated to become the main causes of occupational cancers in the future.
Modelling suggests that the construction industry will probably continue to account for the largest number of occupational cancer cases in the future.